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SPP DISIS 2024 Phase 1: $30B in Upgrade Costs Across 260 Projects

By Chris Talley, Nick Manderlink, and Steven Zhang
March 2026

On March 13, 2026, Southwest Power Pool (SPP) posted Phase 1 study results for the DISIS 2024 cluster. With 260 projects representing 66.5 GW of proposed generation capacity, DISIS 2024 is the largest interconnection cluster in SPP history, nearly double the size of the 2023 DISIS in both project count and capacity.

The Phase 1 results reveal a total of $30.2 billion in allocated network upgrade costs across the cluster, with a median cost assignment of $375/kW. Developers in this cluster now have 15 business days to determine whether to proceed in the queue or withdraw their request. Based on historical SPP withdrawal patterns, substantial attrition is likely.

DISIS 2024 Cycle Overview

The cluster's unprecedented size is partly by design. The application window was extended by roughly five months following SPP's FERC waiver request. The extension, combined with strong developer interest, produced a cluster more than twice the size of any prior cycle, and the pre-Phase 1 withdrawal rate had already exceeded 30% before a single cost assignment was posted.

Gas comprises the largest share of total active capacity at 17.7 GW across 33 projects. Solar (62 projects, 13.9 GW) and battery storage (74 projects, 13.9 GW) are nearly identical in total capacity. Solar + battery hybrids comprise 43 projects and 10.3 GW. Wind, historically a major resource type in SPP, accounts for just 32 projects and 9 GW, its smallest share of any recent DISIS cluster.

Phase 1 Cost Results

The Phase 1 results reveal a wide dispersion in cost assignments. The median total allocated cost is $375/kW (25th-75th percentile: $205/kW to $816/kW). Mean costs are driven upward by 37 projects assigned above $1,000/kW, with 2 exceeding $2,000/kW. Only about 47 projects were allocated costs below $150/kW, a range associated with low attrition in prior SPP cycles. The roughly 100 projects above $500/kW face materially higher withdrawal risk.

ERIS network upgrades account for roughly 86% of the $30.2B total. POI costs represent an additional 11%. The incremental cost of NRIS service is under 3%, indicating that the ERIS/NRIS decision has limited cost implications at this stage.

Interactive cost breakdowns by technology, ERIS vs NRIS comparisons, and project-level risk ratings.

Full Report — $995

What's Driving the Costs

The costliest upgrades are new 765kV and 345kV high-voltage transmission lines across western Oklahoma, Kansas, and the Texas Panhandle. The six most expensive upgrades alone account for $6.5 billion (22% of the $30.2B cluster total) and each affect between 39 and 53 projects. All 44 projects allocated costs from the $1.3B Woodward-Crawfish Draw 765kV line are solar, wind, or hybrid configurations.

Interactive cost map, searchable upgrade explorer, and project lookup for all 260 projects.

Full Report — $995

Regional Risk Profiles

The geographic distribution of costs across the SPP footprint reveals distinct regional risk profiles. Projects in the western Oklahoma and Texas Panhandle corridor face the highest cost allocations, driven by the need for major new 765kV transmission infrastructure. Eastern SPP projects, particularly gas-fired generation near load centers, face significantly lower costs.

Geographic cost map preview (blurred)

Interactive Geographic Cost Map

Based on historical SPP withdrawal patterns, projects assigned above $500/kW have experienced withdrawal rates exceeding 90%. In the DISIS 2024 cluster, roughly 100 projects fall into this category. The interactive Attrition Scenario Tool in the full report models how withdrawal rates by cost bucket could reshape the cluster across multiple scenarios, and the Risk Distribution analysis assigns Low, Medium, and High risk ratings to every project based on technology-specific cost thresholds calibrated to historical outcomes.

NRIS-to-ERIS conversion rates by Decision Point 1 will be an early signal of developer sentiment. Post-Phase 1 withdrawal rates by resource type will indicate whether gas projects continue to tolerate higher costs than renewables. The full report provides the project-level data and interactive tools to track these dynamics as they unfold.

Purchase the Full Report — $995

Includes interactive charts, project-level data, and scenario tools

Methodology

Cost data is sourced from SPP's publicly posted DISIS 2024 Phase 1 Powerflow and Short Circuit Draft Report workbook (posted March 13, 2026). Project capacity and queue metadata is sourced from SPP's Generator Interconnection queue, maintained by interconnection.fyi. Cost per kilowatt ($/kW) is calculated as total allocated cost divided by nameplate capacity in kW.

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